Recent Analysis – Page 2 – an independent, non-profit, and non-governmental research organization established in July 2009 in Kabul.

Tensions between the Islamic Emirate and the Pakistani Government: Their Impact on Bilateral Relations

By adminPosted on January 9, 2025Posted in Foreign Policy, Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Pak-Afghan, pakistan, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The main reason behind the recent conflict between the Islamic Emirate and Pakistan is the issue of Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). The Pakistani government accuses the Islamic Emirate of providing safe havens to TTP and collaborating with them across the Durand Line. Although the Islamic Emirate has consistently denied these allegations, asserting that Afghan soil will not be used against anyone, Pakistan does not trust these statements. Consequently, Pakistan has continued to conduct airstrikes in Paktika and other regions, claiming to target TTP fighters.

Exploring Poverty and Its Causes in Afghanistan over the Past Three Years

By adminPosted on January 4, 2025Posted in Foreign Policy, Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

Based on the above discussion, we conclude that the indicators of poverty in Afghanistan are numerous and have continually threatened the people from various angles.

Post-Bashar al-Assad Syria: Possible Scenarios

By adminPosted on December 26, 2024Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Foreign Policy, weekly analysisNo Comments

Perhaps if Bashar al-Assad had shown political wisdom and responded positively to the demands of the Arab Spring protesters early on, the conflict would not have escalated into a civil war with half a million deaths, millions of displaced people, and widespread destruction. Assad’s resistance to his people’s legitimate demands and reliance on foreign support led to the devastation of the country, and ultimately, he was disgracefully exiled.

The Arrival of Commercial Goods Trains from China to Afghanistan: An Assessment of Economic and Political Impacts

By adminPosted on December 19, 2024Posted in Foreign Policy, Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Foreign Policy, taliban, weekly analysisNo Comments

This article thoroughly analyzes the railway cargo transport initiative from China, highlighting it as a significant economic and political opportunity for Afghanistan. Through this initiative, Afghanistan can strengthen its trade and political relations with China and other regional countries.

The Objectives of China and Russia in Afghanistan: Points of Convergence and Divergence

By adminPosted on December 9, 2024Posted in Foreign Policy, Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Islamic world, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

In the past, the presence of the United States in Afghanistan and the establishment of a pro-Western government were significant obstacles to the greater involvement of China and Russia in the country. However, with the U.S. withdrawal and the resurgence of the Islamic Emirate, a major opportunity has opened for Asian powers—particularly Russia and China—to expand their political, security, and economic influence in Afghanistan.

Analyzing the Foreign Policy of the New U.S. Administration Led by Trump towards the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

By adminPosted on December 3, 2024Posted in Foreign Policy, Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFNo Comments

By: Center for Strategic & Regional Studies Note: Click here for the PDF file of this analysis. ___________________________________________________________________ In this issue: Analyzing the Foreign […]

The First Anniversary of Al-Aqsa Flood: New Dimensions of Warfare and Strategic Challenges

By adminPosted on October 31, 2024Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFNo Comments

A year into the Al-Aqsa Storm operation, Israel’s extensive human rights violations and heavy civilian toll have amplified global awareness of the Palestinian plight—a people who have endured over seventy years of forced displacement, deprivation, torture, and humiliation. In contrast, the true nature of Israel’s regime, with its oppression of the native population, has become clearer.

TAX EXEMPTION AND ITS IMPACT ON AFGHANISTAN’S ECONOMY

By adminPosted on June 23, 2024Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, AIE and internal Policy, slideshow, weekly analysisNo Comments

Following the introduction of tax exemptions and facilitations, the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan has raised the threshold of taxable revenues for businesses from 150,000 Afghanis to 2 million Afghanis and reduced the tax rate from 0.5% to 0.3% on amounts exceeding that threshold. This adjustment is set to take effect from the first day of Hamal 1403. These exemptions can have both positive and negative effects on the economy of Afghanistan. For example, they can improve the livelihoods of entrepreneurs and businessmen as the extra burden of consumption is lifted from their shoulders. Additionally, reduced consumption due to tax exemptions can lead to the development and improvement of businesses quantitatively and qualitatively, ultimately contributing to economic growth. Entrepreneurs can reinvest the exempted amounts into their businesses, leading to increased supply and employment in the economy, or they can spend it elsewhere, thus increasing demand. This simultaneous movement of supply and demand fosters economic growth.

U.S. FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS THE ISLAMIC EMIRATE

By adminPosted on June 8, 2024Posted in Afghanistan, Analysis, Foreign Policy, Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged AEI-America, Foreign Policy, slideshow, the United StatesNo Comments

There are three ways for the United States to engage with the Islamic Emirate:

Complete Isolation: Isolate the Islamic Emirate entirely and impose additional severe restrictions until they meet the U.S. demands.

Official Recognition: Recognize the Islamic Emirate officially and establish formal diplomatic relations with it.

Engagement without Recognition: Neither isolate it completely nor officially recognize it, but rather engage with it without formal recognition until the Islamic Emirate makes changes in its domestic policies.

So far, the United States has chosen the third path.

The specific objectives of U.S. foreign policy towards the Islamic Emirate include combating terrorism, fighting for the education and employment rights of girls, preventing drug trafficking, providing aid to prevent a humanitarian crisis, and evacuating U.S. allies from Afghanistan, and applying restrictions and pressure to make the Islamic Emirate meet its demands.

DETERIORATING INDIA-MALDIVES RELATIONS؛ THE CHINA FACTOR

By adminPosted on March 19, 2024Posted in Global issues & Politics, Islamic World, Recent Analysis, Region & World, Weekly Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, weekly analysisNo Comments

India and Maldives have had close historical relations since 1965. During the year and especially after the 1980s, Maldives was mostly dependent on India in terms of economic and security.