Recent Analysis – an independent, non-profit, and non-governmental research organization established in July 2009 in Kabul.

The Persian Gulf Arab States in Relation to a Potential U.S. and Israeli Attack on Iran: Roles, Costs, and Future Scenarios

By adminPosted on April 27, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Foreign Policy, Pak-Afghan, politics, Region & World, taliban, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Persian Gulf states find themselves in a complex and multi-layered position in the conflict between the U.S.–Israeli axis and Iran, where their strategic choices have the potential to significantly shape the future of the region. The continuation of a defensive posture, while less costly and more conducive to faster recovery and reconstruction, would still mean the persistence of uncertainty and ongoing economic pressure. It may reduce immediate military risks, but it does not fully eliminate long-term security concerns or regional instability.

The Confrontation Between the United States, Israel, and Iran: Drivers and Prospects

By adminPosted on April 20, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, politics, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran—now paused under a fragile ceasefire and accompanied by inconclusive negotiations—stems from a fundamentally zero-sum strategic dynamic. The United States and Israel seek a “neutralized” Iran: one without nuclear technological capacity, deprived of advanced long-range weapons, and with minimal regional influence. From Iran’s perspective, however, accepting such conditions would amount to the dismantling of its technological, military, and political capabilities, ultimately placing the state on a path toward strategic vulnerability and possible collapse.

The Impact of the Iran–United States–Israel War on Afghanistan

By adminPosted on April 13, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Iran–United States–Israel conflict is not merely an external war for Afghanistan; it carries deep and multidimensional political, security, and economic consequences. This analysis demonstrates that, due to its geographic position, Afghanistan continues to bear both direct and indirect pressures arising from regional power rivalries.

United States–Iran Negotiations: Outcomes and Future Scenarios

By adminPosted on February 19, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Region & World, Security, weekly analysisNo Comments

Iran’s return to negotiations with the United States does not merely reflect a tactical adjustment; rather, it appears to be the result of a broader erosion in Tehran’s deterrence-based strategic calculations. The weakening of proxy networks, the attrition of military capacity, increasing international isolation, and the widening state–society divide have collectively raised the costs of sustained confrontation beyond what the Iranian system can comfortably absorb. In this context, renewed diplomacy represents a recalibration driven by structural pressures rather than voluntary strategic transformation.

Trump’s Peace Board: Objectives and Prospects

By adminPosted on February 9, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Pak-Afghan, Region & World, taliban, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Peace Board established by Donald J. Trump has been publicly presented as an initiative to end the Gaza war and contribute to the resolution of international conflicts. However, an examination of its charter indicates that the Board does not constitute a neutral multilateral international organization, but rather a highly personalized institution under Trump’s direct control.

The Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO): The Recent Meeting in Pakistan and the Non-Participation of the Islamic Emirate

By adminPosted on February 3, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) was established to strengthen regional coordination, promote free trade, support regional economic development, and enhance scientific and cultural exchanges. Holding the recent ECO meeting in Pakistan, with the participation of all member states except Afghanistan, indicates that Pakistan is viewed as an important economic partner by other member countries and enjoys a significant level of regional trust. Hosting such meetings also increases Pakistan’s visibility and influence in the region.

An Analysis of the United States’ Military Attack on Venezuela

By adminPosted on January 14, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The United States’ military action against Venezuela and the unlawful detention of the country’s president, Nicolás Maduro, and his spouse constitute, from the perspective of international law, a clear violation of the fundamental provisions of the Charter of the United Nations.

The Recent Gathering of Pakistani Religious Scholars and Their Role in Improving Relations with Afghanistan

By adminPosted on January 6, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFNo Comments

By: Center for Strategic & Regional Studies Note: Click here for the PDF file of this analysis. ___________________________________________________________________ In this issue: The Recent […]

The Tehran Meeting and the Absence of the Islamic Emirate: An Analytical Overview

By adminPosted on December 25, 2025Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Tehran meeting can be assessed as Iran’s attempt to position itself as one of the key diplomatic reference points for addressing Afghanistan-related issues. A country that has long faced severe Western pressure and relative isolation, Iran appears to have used this initiative to demonstrate its continued capacity to break out of diplomatic isolation and exert influence over regional affairs.

Alternative Trade Routes for Afghanistan Beyond Pakistan: Challenges and Solutions

By adminPosted on December 10, 2025Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

Although Afghanistan’s trade has long been dependent on Pakistan’s transit routes, the country is not without alternatives. With support from neighboring and regional states that maintain close relations with the Islamic Emirate,