Center for Strategic and Regional Studies (CSRS)
The Centre for Strategic and Regional Studies (CSRS)
By: Center for Strategic & Regional Studies Note: Click here for the PDF file of this analysis. ___________________________________________________________________ In this issue: Redefining Military […]
The agreement signed between Iran and the United States in 2026 can be assessed as a provisional framework aimed at halting the three-month conflict between the two countries and creating the conditions for a longer-term settlement. The agreement establishes the necessary groundwork for a ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the reduction of economic pressures on Iran, the release of frozen assets, and the initiation of future negotiations concerning Iran’s nuclear program.
Biography Sayed Israr Samim is a Ph.D. student at the Faculty of Social Sciences, Universitas Islam Internasional Indonesia (UIII). He […]
Overall, the military-technical agreement between Russia and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan should not be viewed merely as a technical contract for repairing military equipment. Rather, it represents a gradual transformation in Kabul–Moscow relations and a move toward a more strategic form of engagement.
An examination of the evolution of OPEC and the position of the United Arab Emirates within the organization indicates that the UAE’s withdrawal was not merely a short-term decision or a technical disagreement over production quotas. Rather, it reflects deeper structural transformations in the global energy economy and shifting power dynamics within the Persian Gulf.
Name: Sayed Israr Samim Email Address: sayed.samim@students.uiii.ac.id Sayed Israr is a Ph.D. student at faculty of social science, Universitas Islam […]
The visit of the President of the United States, Trump, to China was largely ceremonial in nature, with limited tangible outcomes. Some Western analysts believe that Xi Jinping held a relative advantage in the discussions, as China did not soften its position on issues such as Taiwan and economic pressures.
In conclusion, the most important point to emphasize in this analysis is the gap between what the United States and the Zionist regime assumed about Iran’s system and what they actually encountered in practice. They believed that by removing a small number of individuals at the top, the entire system would collapse. However, Iran demonstrated that it possesses a multi-layered and distributed structure—one in which the failure of a single component does not paralyze the whole system.
The Persian Gulf states find themselves in a complex and multi-layered position in the conflict between the U.S.–Israeli axis and Iran, where their strategic choices have the potential to significantly shape the future of the region. The continuation of a defensive posture, while less costly and more conducive to faster recovery and reconstruction, would still mean the persistence of uncertainty and ongoing economic pressure. It may reduce immediate military risks, but it does not fully eliminate long-term security concerns or regional instability.
The confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran—now paused under a fragile ceasefire and accompanied by inconclusive negotiations—stems from a fundamentally zero-sum strategic dynamic. The United States and Israel seek a “neutralized” Iran: one without nuclear technological capacity, deprived of advanced long-range weapons, and with minimal regional influence. From Iran’s perspective, however, accepting such conditions would amount to the dismantling of its technological, military, and political capabilities, ultimately placing the state on a path toward strategic vulnerability and possible collapse.
