Region & World – Center for Strategic and Regional Studies (CSRS)

An Analytical Assessment of the Agreement Between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America

By adminPosted on July 4, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The agreement signed between Iran and the United States in 2026 can be assessed as a provisional framework aimed at halting the three-month conflict between the two countries and creating the conditions for a longer-term settlement. The agreement establishes the necessary groundwork for a ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the reduction of economic pressures on Iran, the release of frozen assets, and the initiation of future negotiations concerning Iran’s nuclear program.

A Look at the Security Agreement between Russia and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

By adminPosted on June 11, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

Overall, the military-technical agreement between Russia and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan should not be viewed merely as a technical contract for repairing military equipment. Rather, it represents a gradual transformation in Kabul–Moscow relations and a move toward a more strategic form of engagement.

Transformation in the Gulf Energy Order: Examining the Factors Behind the United Arab Emirates’ Withdrawal from OPEC

By adminPosted on June 3, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

An examination of the evolution of OPEC and the position of the United Arab Emirates within the organization indicates that the UAE’s withdrawal was not merely a short-term decision or a technical disagreement over production quotas. Rather, it reflects deeper structural transformations in the global energy economy and shifting power dynamics within the Persian Gulf.

Assessment of the Visit of the President of the United States to China

By adminPosted on May 23, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, politics, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The visit of the President of the United States, Trump, to China was largely ceremonial in nature, with limited tangible outcomes. Some Western analysts believe that Xi Jinping held a relative advantage in the discussions, as China did not soften its position on issues such as Taiwan and economic pressures.

From Imposed War to Victory: Explaining Iran’s Success in the Conflict with the United States and the Zionist Regime

By adminPosted on May 11, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, politics, Region & World, taliban, weekly analysisNo Comments

In conclusion, the most important point to emphasize in this analysis is the gap between what the United States and the Zionist regime assumed about Iran’s system and what they actually encountered in practice. They believed that by removing a small number of individuals at the top, the entire system would collapse. However, Iran demonstrated that it possesses a multi-layered and distributed structure—one in which the failure of a single component does not paralyze the whole system.

The Persian Gulf Arab States in Relation to a Potential U.S. and Israeli Attack on Iran: Roles, Costs, and Future Scenarios

By adminPosted on April 27, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Foreign Policy, Pak-Afghan, politics, Region & World, taliban, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Persian Gulf states find themselves in a complex and multi-layered position in the conflict between the U.S.–Israeli axis and Iran, where their strategic choices have the potential to significantly shape the future of the region. The continuation of a defensive posture, while less costly and more conducive to faster recovery and reconstruction, would still mean the persistence of uncertainty and ongoing economic pressure. It may reduce immediate military risks, but it does not fully eliminate long-term security concerns or regional instability.

The Confrontation Between the United States, Israel, and Iran: Drivers and Prospects

By adminPosted on April 20, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Foreign Policy, politics, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran—now paused under a fragile ceasefire and accompanied by inconclusive negotiations—stems from a fundamentally zero-sum strategic dynamic. The United States and Israel seek a “neutralized” Iran: one without nuclear technological capacity, deprived of advanced long-range weapons, and with minimal regional influence. From Iran’s perspective, however, accepting such conditions would amount to the dismantling of its technological, military, and political capabilities, ultimately placing the state on a path toward strategic vulnerability and possible collapse.

The Impact of the Iran–United States–Israel War on Afghanistan

By adminPosted on April 13, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Foreign Policy, Region & World, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Iran–United States–Israel conflict is not merely an external war for Afghanistan; it carries deep and multidimensional political, security, and economic consequences. This analysis demonstrates that, due to its geographic position, Afghanistan continues to bear both direct and indirect pressures arising from regional power rivalries.

United States–Iran Negotiations: Outcomes and Future Scenarios

By adminPosted on February 19, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Region & World, Security, weekly analysisNo Comments

Iran’s return to negotiations with the United States does not merely reflect a tactical adjustment; rather, it appears to be the result of a broader erosion in Tehran’s deterrence-based strategic calculations. The weakening of proxy networks, the attrition of military capacity, increasing international isolation, and the widening state–society divide have collectively raised the costs of sustained confrontation beyond what the Iranian system can comfortably absorb. In this context, renewed diplomacy represents a recalibration driven by structural pressures rather than voluntary strategic transformation.

Trump’s Peace Board: Objectives and Prospects

By adminPosted on February 9, 2026Posted in Recent Analysis, Weekly Analysis PDFTagged Afghanistan, Pak-Afghan, Region & World, taliban, weekly analysisNo Comments

The Peace Board established by Donald J. Trump has been publicly presented as an initiative to end the Gaza war and contribute to the resolution of international conflicts. However, an examination of its charter indicates that the Board does not constitute a neutral multilateral international organization, but rather a highly personalized institution under Trump’s direct control.